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What sidetracked many people, Hickey says, was the belief that the eight-member Federal Reserve (Fed) was omnipotent When the Fed cut rates, the market celebrated People were euphoric, believing a rate cut would save them On TV, financial commentators were hooting and hollering, calling for another rate cut, Hickey remembers They thought the stock market would be immune As long as the Fed was there, they believed the stock market would rally When the Fed surprised the market by cutting rates again, the same commentators called it a miracle, a gift from heaven, and the greatest central bank on earth One CNBC commentator was telling people to put their money into the Four Horsemen, including Google, at over $700 a share When you write BUY GOOG on your knuckles, that should give you some sense we re in trouble, he quips According to Hickey, many pros depend on the individual investors to fuel rallies Some of the antics you see are designed to lure greater fools with new money and short memories into the market Meanwhile, after the Fed cut rates, Google went even higher, even though it had missed its July numbers It missed its numbers because Internet traffic had started to slow, Hickey says And the biggest advertisers were from mortgage companies, who were going to get killed And yet, they were on TV telling people to buy these high-priced tech stocks even after the fundamentals were rolling over Hickey is not a big fan of the Fed, which he believes has been irresponsible These are mostly Ivy League educated economists, but they never get it right, he says Fed chairman Greenspan said it wasn t possible to identify bubbles, and yet there was this gigantic housing bubble that was obvious not just to me but to many people Economists came out and said not to worry because the Fed had cut rates from 6 percent to 1 percent But it didn t matter in the end He believes that the Fed members keep getting it wrong because they rely too heavily on their economic models, which never seem to come up with the right answer It s common sense versus economic modeling, Hickey says I was hitting my head against the wall Why couldn t they see bubbles imploding all over.

For example, the following statement prints the sheet named 2011 Budget from the workbook named Budget Strategyxlsx:

See asynchronous components aggregate queries 601 aggregated levels 700 aggregation candidates 702 703 aggregation design 700, 702 703, 705, 707 high-performance cubes 708.

print out sheet "2011 Budget" of workbook "Budget Strategyxlsx"

aggregation design (continued) influencing 702 partition level 707 Aggregation Design Wizard 701 performance benefit 701 aggregation designs other considerations 707 resource utilization 707 Aggregation Management tool 707 Aggregation Manager 706 aggregations 247, 558, 639, 700 Aggregation Manager 706 Analysis Services 701 cache 700 comparing with indexes 701 cost of designing 707 designing 701 disk space 707 fact table 708 influencing 702 leveraging 706 707 lower level 701 OLAP solution 701 partition level 701 partitions 707 Profiler 705 query log 705 target number 707 AggregationUsage property 703 aggregators 743 agility 526 alerts 293, 455 low free disk space 521 algorithms 688 parameters 688 aliases 86, 92, 268 alloc_unit_type_desc 405 allocated area 245 allocation order scan 614 allocation unit 405 allocation unit type 386, 404 ALTER 179 181, 224 ALTER DATABASE 292, 454 ALTER INDEX 334 335 ALTER INDEX REBUILD 439 ALTER PARTITION FUNCTION 418 ALTER TABLE 15, 408 Amazon.com 634 AMO. See Analysis Management Objects Analysis Management Objects 353

the place Meanwhile, the Fed was supplying all this liquidity into the market by cutting rates lower and lower Hickey saw many similarities between 2007 and 2000 According to market lore, you re not supposed to fight the Fed, but I knew it was time History told me that The Fed was not omnipotent in 1930, they weren t omnipotent in 2000, and they weren t omnipotent in 2007 I think it s very important to understand history These patterns do reoccur, but not always in the same way They are always a little different And just as in the past, people thought he was insane for fighting the Fed It wasn t just the crazies taunting me on the phone and singing songs, he says Legitimate people also called me and said, The Fed will never allow the stock market to fall because the consequences will be so awful Stocks are destined to go higher The Fed is too powerful Resistance is futile